Behind the Curtain: America's great political implosion
Center Left
American politics, reordered and reimagined by a decade of President Trump's rise, fall and resurrection, is imploding in substantial ways.MAGA is splintering between Trump enthusiasts and true "America First" believers.Socialism is rising in popularity and clout. Democratic leaders are flailing.Israel is bleeding support with both parties. Pro-Palestinian politicians are winning elections. AI is dividing both sides of the aisle, with strong pro-worker coalitions forming among Republicans and Democrats. And Trump's unpopularity seems set and locked around 60%.Why it matters: Everything is up for grabs — and wildly uncertain. House and Senate control are coin tosses in the November midterms, the 2028 presidential races are wide open, and both parties are equally despised by the electorate.Zoom in: The populist forces Trump awakened are devouring the establishment, inflamed by a cross-partisan blend of endless war, soaring prices and elite impunity, as Axios' Zachary Basu narrates.On the right, a historic schism over the meaning of "America First" has left Trump's broad 2024 coalition in tatters.Tucker Carlson and former Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene — voices once synonymous with MAGA — both renounced the GOP this week, casting Trump's war with Iran as a betrayal of his own movement.The rupture is spreading through the outsider media universe that helped return Trump to power, with populist podcasters such as Theo Von, Tim Dillon and Candace Owens turning fiercely critical of the administration.On the left, establishment Democrats fear a socialist "Tea Party" has arrived — toppling incumbents, humiliating party leaders and turning safe blue seats into laboratories for a more confrontational politics.Three democratic socialists backed by New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, suddenly a progressive kingmaker, appear headed for Congress after an earthquake in Tuesday's primaries.A Gallup poll last year found Democrats favor socialism over capitalism by 66% to 42% — the widest gap on record — with the divide sharpest among voters under 30, the engine of Mamdani's coalition.Zoom out: A generational collapse in support for Israel is remaking both parties — while surging antisemitism clouds the increasingly toxic debate.The numbers are brutal: Pew Research found 60% of Americans now view Israel unfavorably, including 80% of Democrats and 57% of Republicans under 50.For Democrats, Israel's actions in Gaza bundle together everything young left-wing voters hate about the old party: war, money in politics, gerontocracy and deference to a foreign policy consensus they see as morally bankrupt.For Republicans, the fight over Israel is also a fight over the future — pitting an aging, pro-Israel establishment against a young base that views foreign intervention as the original sin "America First" was meant to cure.Between the lines: AI is emerging as the next great populist accelerant, fusing fears over lost jobs, soaring power bills and the unchecked power of billionaires.The backlash is scrambling party lines: Progressive labor activists, MAGA antitrust hawks and young voters increasingly see AI as a machine for enriching tech titans while making ordinary work more disposable.Harvard's youth poll found 59% of Americans 18 to 29 see AI as a threat to their job prospects, including 66% of young Democrats and 59% of young Republicans.What to watch: Trump is deeply unpopular. But the tectonic shifts transforming the two parties — and the country — make 2026 and 2028 impossible to forecast.Control of the House is a toss-up: GOP redistricting established a narrow moat around their majority, but Democrats lead the generic ballot by 6 percentage points.The Senate map is as favorable as it gets for Republicans, but top election prognosticator Larry Sabato this month moved three races toward Democrats. A 50-50 split is a distinct possibility.The 2028 field, meanwhile, is wide open.The New York Times presidential primary tracker has four potential candidates — Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez — clustered within 8 points of each other.Vice President Vance leads Secretary of State Marco Rubio on the GOP side. But Vance serves at the pleasure of a president who likes to keep people guessing. The bottom line: In a new Gallup poll timed to the nation's 250th anniversary, more than three-quarters of Americans said the founders would be disappointed with how the country has turned out.Axios' Zachary Basu and Mike Zapler contributed reporting. 📈 If you're a CEO or on a CEO's team: Ask to join Jim's new weekly Axios C-Suite newsletter.Go deeper: "The Rattled Generation: A unified theory of this American moment."
The U.S. Supreme Court sided with the Trump administration on Thursday in a dispute over an immigration policy critical to combating migrant surges at America’s southern border. The decision was 6-3, with Justices Sonia Sotomayor, Elena Kagan, and Ketanji Brown Jackson in the dissent. Known as Mullin v. Alt Otro Lado, the case centers around […]
Disgusting, vile, repugnant, supremacists.I can think of more attributes along these lines to describe the six conservative justices, who handed down three rulings today that, taken together, reveal the naked, ugly face of what this court has become - disgusting, vile, repugnant supremacists. All wearing white robes, with corporate, special interest money oozing out of the eye-holes in their hoods.First, the court cleared the way for the Trump administration to strip Temporary Protected Status from roughly 350,000 Haitians and 6,000 Syrians, voting 6-3 along ideological lines. These are people who fled earthquake rubble, gang terror, and civil war. Haiti was first designated for TPS in 2010 after an earthquake devastated the country and killed more than 300,000 people. And anyone who follows the news knows that Haiti is almost jinxed in the way natural disasters seem to find their way to this distressed country.And now, six justices say they can be sent back. Lawyers for the Haitian challengers told the court that people would “risk death” if returned. Justices Alito, Thomas, Gorsuch, Kavanaugh, Roberts, and Coney-Barrett don’t give a damn about these poor souls from a “s---thole” country.Previously, a federal district court found that there was evidence the decision to terminate Haitian TPS was based on “anti-Black and anti-Haitian animus,” pointing to Trump’s 2018 statement that Haiti was a “shithole country.” The equally disgusting, vile, repugnant supremacist Trump also famously said during the 2024 campaign that Haitian immigrants in Springfield, Ohio, eat cats and dogs. Said that Haitians would spread AIDS in this country. Said Haitians weren’t human and were “animals.”There is more, but I’m too sick to my stomach to write any more of his filth. So, how do these six white, bigoted justices sit on this bench, read those words, and then rule in the administration’s favor, and say that there was no racism?Advocates warn that this decision will force families back into dangerous conditions, resulting in many instances of death, while causing labor shortages in critical U.S. sectors. But because they are Black, the court wants them out of this country, regardless of the devastating consequences.Second, the court’s conservative justices - or more aptly, criminal justices because they should be locked in prison - signaled their support for allowing Trump to turn away asylum seekers who approach ports of entry along the U.S.-Mexico border.These are people who did everything right, who followed the law, who showed up at official crossings and asked for protection, and risked life and limb to do so. One of those people, a Mexican man named Benito, told immigration agents he feared being killed, and was turned away anyway. The court gave Benito and others who would be killed a big F-U. It also gave another F-U to the Statue of Liberty.Meanwhile, Trump has suspended all refugee resettlement, except for white South Africans. His administration is planning to welcome Afrikaner arrivals with literal gift bags containing an American flag, an Android tablet, the Constitution, the Declaration of Independence, and PragerU literature minimizing the history of slavery and apartheid. So if you are a white farmer from South Africa, this country rolls out the red carpet. If you are a Black Haitian who survived a devastating earthquake and gang violence and built a life here for 15 years, you get a deportation notice, and a big F-U by the United States of America. And then, as if those two rulings weren’t enough to show the Court’s contempt and disgust for people of color and at-risk marginalized communities, it delivered a third gift to the white and powerful. In another lopsided ruling, the justices held that some claims that pesticide companies failed to warn users of their products’ health risks are blocked under federal law. This is a massive victory for Bayer and Monsanto. About 200,000 Roundup-related claims have been made against Bayer, mostly from home users. These are ordinary Americans, people with cancer, people dying, who wanted their day in court. The court just slammed the door. The ruling is expected to block thousands of lawsuits alleging the weedkiller caused cancer. This ruling is a blatant handout to corporate America that strips everyday citizens of their right to hold billionaire conglomerates accountable for selling cancer-causing products. By hiding behind federal bureaucracy, a Supreme Court deeply compromised by billionaire-funded luxury trips has once again rigged the legal system to protect corporate profits while abandoning the very people it is meant to protect.Bayer is filthy rich. They generate massive profits, but their profitability has been severely strained by the very Roundup litigation addressed by the Supreme Court. So guess what? Bayer is off the hook. They, like the Court, couldn't care less if people are dying.
President Donald Trump's wild emotional swings are prompting questions about his mental, emotional and political stability after his Wednesday appearance at the U.S. Capitol.As House Republicans appeared before cameras Wednesday morning to celebrate the achievement, Trump was posting on Truth Social that the bill would no longer get his signature and he was going to the Hill with demands of his own. Speaking about the bizarre day and the social media rants that both preceded and followed, Salon columnist Amanda Marcotte joined The New Republic's Greg Sargent for his morning podcast. The two political analysts brought up Trump's hostage crisis, which demands that the House and Senate pass the so-called SAVE America Act, which, verbatim, stands for the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility America Act."I’m beginning to think he actually genuinely believes that the SAVE Act is what’s going to save the Republican Party in the midterm elections," Marcotte told Sargent. Trump, she said, has been "all over the map" when it comes to his "fantasies" about different ways to "steal elections," she continued. But in this case, Marcotte said she thinks that he is openly confessing that he wants to cheat to win the election."He can’t admit he’s unpopular, but he’s still pushing legislation that’s premised on the idea that he’s so unpopular that he can’t win an election without it," said Marcotte. "So one minute his poll numbers are showing that he’s astronomically popular, and then the next minute he’s saying, good — it, prevents lots and lots of people from voting, otherwise we’re going to get killed. There you have it right there, right? That’s all of it right there," said Sargent. Marcotte said she isn't certain whether it's because of Trump's advanced age, the "stress" is "getting to him," or if he's "falling apart," but he's getting worse. "One of the wildest things about watching Donald Trump in the second term is seeing how much worse his narcissism has gotten. I didn’t think it was possible, honestly, in the first term, but the spiral that he’s in — he’s talked himself into incoherence," she observed. She noted that he "ping-pongs wildly" between his narcissism, which is his inflated sense of self and his insecurity. The result has been that Trump is saying to himself that he can't win without cheating while also saying he's the most popular president of all time. "And it’s like, you’ve got to choose, man," Marcotte said.
The House of Representatives cancelled its votes scheduled for Friday as some Republicans opposed all votes until the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) America Act passes. Republican […]
Trump's Great American State Fair rally kicked off on Wednesday evening with an amazing B-2 Spirit flyover. The nuclear-capable jet glided over the massive crowd on the National Mall as they chanted "USA, USA!" WATCH: More from Fox: It also flew by the White House.
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