Republicans worried about preserving their House or Senate majorities in November are wishing for the miracle of low gas prices, but recent surveys show they needn’t bother. Their goose is already cooked, regardless of where fuel prices go.When you’re down this far it’s nearly impossible to pull out of the dive, and after several new polls dropped this week, President Donald Trump hit the worst approval rating of his presidency. He also whacked a new low two days in a row with a FiftyPlusOne approval of 36 percent, amounting to a net score of −25.This is a historically bad rating for a president at this point in his term — worse than Biden’s at this point in 2022, and worse than Trump’s in his first term. It’s so bad now, that analyst G. Elliot Morris says falling gas prices won’t rescue Trump — or the Republican Party.“Cheaper gas didn’t buy him much, if anything at all,” said Morris, seeing Trump’s popularity fail to lift out of the doldrums despite a brief drop in gas prices this summer.Generally, a president’s approval drops as gas prices go up. Prices spiked from $3 to $4.50 on average this spring thanks to Trump’s entirely voluntary war on Iran. It dropped to an average of $3.78 in early July when Trump and his media puffed up an Iran “ceasefire.” But national averages jumped back to $4.10 a gallon when that ceasefire evaporated.It’s been a few weeks and the numbers are in, and what struck analysts was how low Trump’s approval remained even as he enjoyed a premature price dip before his not-at-all-ceasefire blew up.“While gas and approval had been closely linked from March through May, when Trump’s approval fell, the June gas price ebbing did not result in a commensurate rise in approval for Trump,” observed Morris. “While gas prices recovered almost a dollar from peak, Trump’s approval ticked up a few points. And then slides right back down to where it started.”Trump and the voters who put him back in the White House in the last election never forgave Joe Biden for high inflation, even after it cooled. Trump personally hammered Biden’s progress, despite U.S. prices steadily being on the decrease up until November, when pessimistic voters removed the Democrat in favor of Trump’s promises.If this lingering hard feelings looks familiar, it should, said Morris — because Trump is now on the bad end of them.Voters in 2024 were actually reacting to excess prices, not the rate of inflation, said Morris. When inflation “cools,” prices don’t fall — they just rise more slowly. “People loathe inflation precisely because they experience it as a permanent cut to their buying power, not a temporary rate that ticks up and down,” said Morris. “… people tend to form their impressions of the president’s handling of the economy and hold onto it.”Republicans are counting on cheap gas to bail them out this November, said Morris, but the evidence from his presidency — and Joe Biden’s — suggests Americans’ evaluations of Trump and his Republican Party are already baked in.All that’s left now is for Trump to ride his crashing plane down to where it’s headed.
Fox News confronted Dr.
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A recent Fox News poll showed Democratic Texas gubernatorial candidate Gina Hinojosa within the margin of error of defeating Gov. Greg Abbott, and critics wasted little time taunting the MAGA governor over his potential election loss.Despite President Donald Trump winning Texas in 2024 by close to 14 percentage points, Abbott – a fierce Trump ally – is favored to win his re-election bid by just 1 percentage point over his Democratic opponent, well within the margin of error. Conducted between July 23-27, the poll also found that Texas voters indicated they were “falling behind financially” by a more than 2-to-1 margin.Sara McGee, the Democratic nominee for Texas’ 132nd Congressional District, predicted the new polling data would force Abbott’s hand in adjusting his campaign strategy over the next 95 days.“Republicans will say this poll is fake only for Greg Abbott to turn around and flip on data centers, and then roll out a ‘healthcare plan’ after refusing federal Medicaid expansion dollars for the last 12 years,” McGee wrote Friday in a social media post on X. “He’s seen the numbers. November is coming.”In 2024, Trump performed strongly with several key demographics in Texas, securing more support from independent and Hispanic voters than his Democratic opponent, former Vice President Kamala Harris. According to the new poll, however, Hinojosa leads Abbott with both groups by 27 and 16 points, respectively.Abbott has served as governor since 2015 and is seeking a fourth term that would make him the longest-serving governor in Texas history. He enters the race with a massive financial edge, reporting nearly $90 million in campaign cash on hand.He’s also demonstrated a strong loyalty to Trump, calling a special session last year at Trump’s request to help enact the White House’s nationwide redistricting push to update congressional district maps in a manner more favorable to Republicans for the midterms.Republicans will say this poll is fake only for Greg Abbott to turn around and flip on data centers, and then roll out a “healthcare plan” after refusing federal Medicaid expansion dollars for the last 12 years. He’s seen the numbers. November is coming. ⏰ https://t.co/7vaaCTSpF1— Sara McGee for Texas HD 132 (@SaraForTexLege) July 31, 2026
Texas Republicans may be in big trouble come the midterms in November, according to shocking new poll results from Fox News. The Fox News poll shows Democrat Senate […]
Robby Soave and Christian Britschgi argue that Anthony Fauci has never fully accounted for the damage caused by COVID lockdowns—and they are not ready to forgive him for it.
